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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

0.53AVERAGE PEER SCORE
32TOTAL PREDICTIONS
32QUESTIONS PREDICTED
8QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

15QUESTIONS AUTHORED
556FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
10COMMENTS AUTHORED