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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

1.57AVERAGE PEER SCORE
3594TOTAL PREDICTIONS
3594QUESTIONS PREDICTED
324QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
392FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
6COMMENTS AUTHORED