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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

2.66AVERAGE PEER SCORE
70TOTAL PREDICTIONS
70QUESTIONS PREDICTED
30QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
25FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
2COMMENTS AUTHORED