M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

3.61AVERAGE PEER SCORE
219TOTAL PREDICTIONS
219QUESTIONS PREDICTED
140QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

4QUESTIONS AUTHORED
3003FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
1NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
61COMMENTS AUTHORED