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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

3.58AVERAGE PEER SCORE
4453TOTAL PREDICTIONS
4453QUESTIONS PREDICTED
330QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

2QUESTIONS AUTHORED
365FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
1NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
11COMMENTS AUTHORED