Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
odelaney
Predictions
64
Comments
7
Member Since
February 2023
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by odelaney
How many people will work in these AI-automatable jobs in the US in May 2025?
347k
11 forecasters
3
4 comments
4
How many times will “artificial intelligence” be mentioned in White House Press Briefings in 2024?
Resolved :
19
20.5
19 forecasters
2
7 comments
7
Regulation of AI
Will the US government deem that an AI model has been trained with at least 1e26 FLOP before 2026?
Resolved :
Annulled
90%
32 forecasters
5
10 comments
10
Regulation of AI
Will a Fortune 500 Global non-tech company train a frontier AI model before 2026?
Resolved :
Yes
7%
22 forecasters
3
22 comments
22
Future of AI