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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

3.33AVERAGE PEER SCORE
621TOTAL PREDICTIONS
621QUESTIONS PREDICTED
209QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

4QUESTIONS AUTHORED
1610FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
1COMMENTS AUTHORED