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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

9.74AVERAGE PEER SCORE
721TOTAL PREDICTIONS
721QUESTIONS PREDICTED
78QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

1QUESTIONS AUTHORED
232FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
40COMMENTS AUTHORED