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Haiku
Predictions
7232
Comments
476
Member Since
May 2023
location
Tempe, AZ
occupation
SDET / Software Quality Assurance Specialist
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Questions by Haiku
Suggest Questions for the AI Warning Signs Community
no comments
0
AI Warning Signs
Will AGI be able to be trained on cheap, accessible hardware before 2040?
Created by Haiku on 2025-01
1
1 comment
1
Before 2030, will a foundation-model-based AI system make $50M in realized profits from not more than $1M of traditional investments and trades?
62.8%
9 forecasters
2 comments
2
AI Warning Signs
Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression explicitly due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?
77%
9 forecasters
1 comment
1
AI Warning Signs
Will an AI system self-replicate on the open internet like a computer virus before 2030?
70%
8 forecasters
3 comments
3
AI Warning Signs
Before 2030, will an AI system scam someone without being given explicit instructions to do so?
82%
8 forecasters
1 comment
1
AI Warning Signs
Will a tool that can easily generate whole-cloth generative AI deepfakes be broadly accessible before 2030?
99%
4 forecasters
no comments
0
AI Warning Signs
When will Google DeepMind's Gemini model be publicly released?
Resolved :
Dec 6, 2023
2024-01-05
47 forecasters
12
12 comments
12
Business of AI