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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

4.95AVERAGE PEER SCORE
325TOTAL PREDICTIONS
325QUESTIONS PREDICTED
87QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

8QUESTIONS AUTHORED
76FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
38COMMENTS AUTHORED