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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

8.21AVERAGE PEER SCORE
1047TOTAL PREDICTIONS
1047QUESTIONS PREDICTED
32QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

32QUESTIONS AUTHORED
463FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
406COMMENTS AUTHORED