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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

0.92AVERAGE PEER SCORE
229TOTAL PREDICTIONS
229QUESTIONS PREDICTED
52QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

10QUESTIONS AUTHORED
776FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
92COMMENTS AUTHORED