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Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

9.29AVERAGE PEER SCORE
1080TOTAL PREDICTIONS
279QUESTIONS PREDICTED
142QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

0QUESTIONS AUTHORED
0FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
0COMMENTS AUTHORED