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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

2.07AVERAGE PEER SCORE
1542TOTAL PREDICTIONS
1542QUESTIONS PREDICTED
93QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

2QUESTIONS AUTHORED
93FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
18COMMENTS AUTHORED