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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

7.32AVERAGE PEER SCORE
923TOTAL PREDICTIONS
923QUESTIONS PREDICTED
138QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

2QUESTIONS AUTHORED
63FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
22COMMENTS AUTHORED