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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

4.79AVERAGE PEER SCORE
32TOTAL PREDICTIONS
32QUESTIONS PREDICTED
6QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

6QUESTIONS AUTHORED
286FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
10COMMENTS AUTHORED