M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

11.69AVERAGE PEER SCORE
10386TOTAL PREDICTIONS
10386QUESTIONS PREDICTED
246QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

9QUESTIONS AUTHORED
1056FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
805COMMENTS AUTHORED