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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

4.06AVERAGE PEER SCORE
52TOTAL PREDICTIONS
52QUESTIONS PREDICTED
9QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
41FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
5COMMENTS AUTHORED