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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

0.5AVERAGE PEER SCORE
1135TOTAL PREDICTIONS
1135QUESTIONS PREDICTED
80QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

6QUESTIONS AUTHORED
180FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
100COMMENTS AUTHORED