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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

10.66AVERAGE PEER SCORE
122TOTAL PREDICTIONS
122QUESTIONS PREDICTED
2QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
30FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
4COMMENTS AUTHORED