Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

There's still time to compete for $3,500 in commenting prizes: Learn how you can help GiveWell help others.

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Overview Track Record Medals Comments

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve

Score Scatter Plot

Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

-AVERAGE PEER SCORE

0TOTAL PREDICTIONS

0QUESTIONS PREDICTED

0QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

0QUESTIONS AUTHORED

0FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS

0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED

0COMMENTS AUTHORED