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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

2.81AVERAGE PEER SCORE
521TOTAL PREDICTIONS
521QUESTIONS PREDICTED
42QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

7QUESTIONS AUTHORED
1437FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
14COMMENTS AUTHORED