Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
ilia.zaharov
Predictions
13
Comments
0
Member Since
November 2024
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Questions
Questions by ilia.zaharov
What percentage of developers in 2025 will have a concern that the adoption of AI coding will decrease the demand for professional software developers?
70.9
3 forecasters
no comments
0
JetBrains
What percentage of developers will agree with the statement that AI will eventually take over the coding process, fully replacing human developers in 2025?
15.5
16.9 this week
3 forecasters
no comments
0
JetBrains
What percentage of developers would claim to have ethical concerns about using generative AI services in 2025?
49.2
42.6 this week
3 forecasters
no comments
0
JetBrains
What percentage of developers will agree with the statement that local or offline AI tools are unlikely to reach the quality and performance of cloud-based solutions in 2025?
71
3 forecasters
no comments
0
JetBrains
What percentage of developers will be ready to use cloud-based generative AI services for work tasks in 2025?
75.4
3 forecasters
no comments
0
JetBrains
For these benchmarks, what percentage of problems do you estimate the top-performing AI model or agent will be able to solve by December'25?
AI2 Reasoning Challenge
?
Epoch's FrontierMath
?
Toloka's U-MATH
?
2 others
No forecasts yet
no comments
0
JetBrains
What percentage of problems from Long Code Arena do you estimate the top-performing AI model or agent will be able to solve by December'25?
Library-based code generation
?
Continuous integration builds repair
?
Project-level code completion
?
3 others
Revealed
in 3 weeks
no comments
0
JetBrains
What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2025:
Ready to delegate refactoring
67.9
Ready to delegate improving or optimizing code
39.7
Ready to delegate debugging
36.8
3 others
no comments
0
JetBrains
According to the 2024 Developer Ecosystem Survey:
What percentage of time will developers spend on code reviews in 2025?
65.3
What percentage of developers will feel completely secure in their job in 2025
32.3
What will the percentage of developers not using AI in testing be in 2025?
20.4
no comments
0
JetBrains
Will any coding tool publicly introduce integration with brain-computer interface (BCI) technology by December 15, 2025?
30%
1 forecaster
no comments
0
JetBrains
Load More