conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
3 AI labs constrain capabilities before 2026? | Date of Artificial General Intelligence |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2026 | — |
| median | 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199-12-25 | 0.1% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2023
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2023
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch