Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

conditional

condition

2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon?

if yes

if no

Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

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Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

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2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon?	Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?
if yes	My Prediction: -
if no	My Prediction: -

My Prediction

community

<2030-01-01

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2075-01-01

...

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

By 2030, will there be a synthetic protein fiber costing less than nylon?

When will synthetic-biology protein fibers reach 10% of the world's production?

2042-04-06

2030: open-source repo for alt-protein? → 2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

Lab-grown meat could be sold in UK in next few years, says food regulator

Guardian•Oct 8, 2024

Nobel Prize in chemistry awarded for work on proteins to David Baker, Demis Hassabis and John Jumper

CNN•Oct 9, 2024

Machine learning cracked the protein-folding problem and won the 2024 Nobel Prize in chemistry

The Conversation•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2030, will there be a synthetic protein fiber costing less than nylon?

When will synthetic-biology protein fibers reach 10% of the world's production?

2042-04-06