2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

conditional

condition

2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Kamala Harris)

Resolved :Yes

if yes

if no

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

45%

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

60%

Resolved :Annulled

1 comment1

Make a Prediction

2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Kamala Harris)	2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 45%

Forecast Timeline

Donald Trump

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Election 2024: Prediction and Reasoning

OpEdNews•Oct 26, 2024

Kamala Harris Will Snag 'Comfortable' Victory, Conservative Pundit Predicts

Newsweek•Oct 26, 2024

'World's most accurate economist' predicts if Trump or Harris will win 2024 election and the impact on the US market

Daily Mail•Oct 28, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee? (Josh Shapiro) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris)

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Trump in power beyond 2028?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Election 2024: Prediction and Reasoning

OpEdNews•Oct 26, 2024

Kamala Harris Will Snag 'Comfortable' Victory, Conservative Pundit Predicts

Newsweek•Oct 26, 2024

'World's most accurate economist' predicts if Trump or Harris will win 2024 election and the impact on the US market

Daily Mail•Oct 28, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch