Question
Question
Four days after the first Donald Trump-Kamala Harris debate, how much will Harris's probability of winning change, according to the Metaculus Community?
Resolved :4Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction1.62
Make a Prediction
My Prediction
community<-9
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>9
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
2.756e-1
1.618
2.942
0.5%
What was the final result?4
Community Baseline Score
-1.9
Community Peer Score
39.0