Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)

conditional

condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Closed

22 forecasters

if yes

if no

Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)

31%

Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)

15%

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2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)	Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 30.9%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2024 Electoral Consequences

Geopolitics

What is the future of Ukraine? Trump's return raises uncertainty of U.S. sending more aid

MSNBC•Nov 12, 2024

3 reasons why a Trump White House might not be a disaster for Ukraine − in fact, it might tighten the screws on Russia

The Conversation•Nov 12, 2024

3 reasons why a Trump White House might not be a disaster for Ukraine

Raw Story•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Trump in power beyond 2028?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2024 Electoral Consequences

Geopolitics

What is the future of Ukraine? Trump's return raises uncertainty of U.S. sending more aid

MSNBC•Nov 12, 2024

3 reasons why a Trump White House might not be a disaster for Ukraine − in fact, it might tighten the screws on Russia

The Conversation•Nov 12, 2024

3 reasons why a Trump White House might not be a disaster for Ukraine

Raw Story•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch