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DavidHume
Predictions
1234
Comments
462
Member Since
August 2023
occupation
Philosopher
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by DavidHume
[Short fuse] Will California's Proposition 33 (allowing rent control) pass in the 2024 general election?
Resolved :
No
25%
32 forecasters
5
17 comments
17
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
condition
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
3 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
67%
67%
US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
25%
25%
5 comments
5
condition
US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
4 forecasters
if yes
if no
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
50%
50%
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
50%
50%
no comments
0
When will the Chinese-built Comac C929 wide-body aircraft enter commercial operations?
2029-12-17
3 forecasters
3
4 comments
4
Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?
19%
13 forecasters
2
6 comments
6
Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?
30%
10 percentage points this week
10 forecasters
1
5 comments
5
Will the White Sox lose 120 or more games in the 2024 MLB season?
Resolved :
Yes
99.4%
27 forecasters
1
35 comments
35
What will be the relative performance of a $400 GPU (nominal 2030 US dollars) from Nvidia in December 2030 compared to the RTX 4060?
236
6 forecasters
3
8 comments
8
Will Dwayne Johnson, The Rock, make a serious run for President of the United States or VP before 2053?
5%
20 forecasters
2
16 comments
16
Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?
80%
27 forecasters
4
20 comments
20
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