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romeodean
Predictions
290
Comments
18
Member Since
February 2024
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by romeodean
How likely do you think it is that overall, the impact of High Level Machine Intelligence will be extremely negative for humanity in the long run?
Closed
71%
6 forecasters
1 comment
1
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
How likely do you think it is that overall, the impact of High Level Machine Intelligence will be extremely negative for humanity in the long run?
Resolved :
Annulled
82.5
1 forecaster
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
In what year will there will be High Level Machine Intelligence which can accomplish every cognitive task better and more cheaply than human workers?
Closed
2031-07-23
6 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Model Autonomy?
Closed
60%
6 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?
Closed
65%
10 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Persuasion?
Closed
41%
10 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of Medium or higher on Cybersecurity?
Closed
90%
10 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Closed
1.24
10 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025, in USD billions?
Closed
18.2
9 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?
Closed
76.4
9 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
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