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Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

73 comments73

Forecast Timeline

Sam Bankman-Fried

Caroline Ellison

Gary Wang

Nishad Singh

Sam Trabucco

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Sam Trabucco	35%

Sam Bankman-Fried	yes

Caroline Ellison	yes

Gary Wang	yes

Nishad Singh	yes

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

300

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

300

Will Sam Bankman-Fried be one of the 100 wealthiest people in the world in 2030?

Comments

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Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

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How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

300

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

300