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Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

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Forecast Timeline

Ivanivske

Kostyantynivka

Velyka Novosilka

Sloviansk

Kramatorsk

Druzhkivka

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Sloviansk	63%

Ivanivske	92%

Kostyantynivka	65%

Velyka Novosilka	65%

Kramatorsk	55%

Druzhkivka	45%

Kharkiv	20%

Zaporizhzhia	17.3%

Kherson	15%

Oleksandrivka	13%

Mikolaiv	5%

Odesa	5%

Dnipro	2%

Lutsk	1%

Lviv	1%

Kyiv	1%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Comments

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Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ukraine War Map Shows Russia 'Marginally' Advancing in Two New Locations

Newsweek•Oct 8, 2024

Russian troops grind towards Pokrovsk, take second Ukrainian town in a week

Al Jazeera•Oct 9, 2024

Mapped: Russia advances in Donetsk as it claims to have captured Ukrainian settlements Zolota Nyva and Zhelanna Pershe

Independent•Oct 9, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%