Question

How many Israeli hostages will Hamas release before 2024?

Resolved :Annulled

4 comments4

Total Forecasters2

Community Prediction93

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>220

...

53.98

93.05

144

5.6%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Islamic Jihad Movement in Palestine

Gaza Strip

Hamas

Israel

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

90%

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

16%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Islamic Jihad Movement in Palestine

Gaza Strip

Hamas

Israel

Four American hostages remain in Hamas captivity a year after Oct. 7 massacre

FOX News•Oct 8, 2024

Israel marks the anniversary of October 7 Hamas attacks with tears and anger

CNN•Oct 8, 2024

Israel and Hamas at war: A timeline of major developments in the year since Oct. 7, 2023

CBS•Oct 8, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

90%

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

16%