Question

How many uncontrolled reentries will China conduct by 2025?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction5.72

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50

...

4.77

5.72

7.65

0.2%

Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

China National Space Administration

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

24.9

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

5.53

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlexL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

China National Space Administration

Xi vows ‘reunification’ with Taiwan on eve of Communist China’s 75th birthday

CNN•Oct 1, 2024

NASA Needs a ‘Lunar Marathon’ to Match China on the Moon

Scientific American•Oct 1, 2024

Charted: How SpaceX hit the world record for rocket launches

Independent•Oct 2, 2024

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How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

24.9

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

5.53

MetaculusM

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How many uncontrolled reentries will China conduct by 2025?

Make a Prediction

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

Comments

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?