Question

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

community: 20%

median 20.0%mean 22.1%

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

13%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?

Comments

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Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Why the Supreme Court May Not Decide the 2024 Election After All

Slate•Oct 10, 2024

NEW: Democrat Lawmakers Signal They Won't Certify Election If Donald Trump Wins

Red State•Oct 11, 2024

Top Dem Who Voted Against Trump Electors in 2016 Won't Commit to Certifying Trump Win

PJ Media•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?

13%

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?