Question

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

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havlickova.blanka

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Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

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Nuclear weapons testing

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Peaceful nuclear explosion

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If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

2037-05-28

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

22%

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%

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Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Military science

Nuclear weapons testing

Geopolitics

Peaceful nuclear explosion

Physics

Nuclear Science and Techniques

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If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

2037-05-28

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

22%

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%